Emmanuel Macron s\u2019est impos\u00e9 face \u00e0 Marine Le Pen \u00e0 l\u2019issue d\u2019un scrutin marqu\u00e9 par une forte abstention. Tentative d\u2019explications d\u2019une soir\u00e9e plac\u00e9e sous le sceau de l\u2019in\u00e9dit.<\/p>\n
\n
Emmanuel Macron s\u2019est impos\u00e9 face \u00e0 Marine Le Pen \u00e0 l\u2019issue d\u2019un scrutin marqu\u00e9 par une forte abstention.<\/p>\n
Une r\u00e9\u00e9lection in\u00e9dite sous la Ve R\u00e9publique<\/p>\n
La date du 24 avril 2022 entre ainsi dans l\u2019histoire, marquant la premi\u00e8re r\u00e9\u00e9lection d\u2019un pr\u00e9sident de la R\u00e9publique sans sortir d\u2018une p\u00e9riode de cohabitation. Et c\u2019est Emmanuel Macron, pas avare en premi\u00e8res dans son parcours fulgurant, qui r\u00e9ussit cette performance in\u00e9dite. Dans un remake du duel de 2017, il s\u2019est \u00e0 nouveau impos\u00e9 \u00e0 Marine Le Pen, \u00e0 l\u2019issue d\u2019un quinquennat qui s\u2019est d\u00e9ploy\u00e9 autour de crises exceptionnelles et de sa personnalit\u00e9 clivante. Dans le contexte anxiog\u00e8ne (cons\u00e9cutif \u00e0 cet encha\u00eenement d\u2019\u00e9v\u00e9nements rares) d\u2019un pays fractur\u00e9 et moralement min\u00e9, cette r\u00e9ussite jamais vue pourrait ne souffrir d\u2019aucune r\u00e9serve.<\/p>\n
Elle doit cependant \u00eatre nuanc\u00e9e : c\u2019est avec environ deux millions de voix de moins par rapport \u00e0 2017 que le pr\u00e9sident a \u00e9t\u00e9 r\u00e9\u00e9lu dimanche, alors que sa rivale enregistre environ trois millions de suffrages suppl\u00e9mentaires. Le pr\u00e9sident \u00e9lu passe ainsi de 66,1 % \u00e0 58,2, Marine Le Pen se hisse, elle, de 33,9 % \u00e0 41,8 %. Les \u00e9carts se r\u00e9duisent. D\u2019o\u00f9 une autre premi\u00e8re.<\/p>\n
2. Marine Le Pen et le RN au plus haut<\/h2>\n
Elle concerne donc Marine le Pen, ou, plus pr\u00e9cis\u00e9ment, ce qu\u2019elle incarne, et repr\u00e9sente : une tendance de la droite radicale et nationaliste port\u00e9e par un parti, le Rassemblement national (ex-Front national), qu\u2019elle pr\u00e9side, succ\u00e9dant en cela \u00e0 son p\u00e8re qui l\u2019avait cr\u00e9\u00e9. Ce parti et ce courant id\u00e9ologique, ni elle ni son p\u00e8re ne l\u2019avaient jamais men\u00e9 aussi haut.<\/p>\n
Dimanche, Marine Le Pen a \u00e0 peu pr\u00e8s multipli\u00e9 par trois le score de Jean-Marie Le Pen au second tour de la pr\u00e9sidentielle 2002. Et par rapport \u00e0 son propre second tour de 2017, elle a probablement b\u00e9n\u00e9fici\u00e9 cette ann\u00e9e d\u2019un report tr\u00e8s majoritaire des presque 2,5 millions de voix recueillies par \u00c9ric Zemmour il y a quinze jours. Lui, l\u2019autre candidat majeur lors de cette \u00e9lection pr\u00e9sidentielle issu des rangs de l\u2019extr\u00eame droite.<\/p>\n
3. Une abstention qui s’installe<\/h2>\n
Une fois \u00e9vacu\u00e9es les consid\u00e9rations relatives aux deux finalistes, reste l\u2019autre enseignement majeur de ce second tour : exception faite du cas \u00e0 part de l\u2019\u00e9lection de 1969 qui opposait deux candidats de droite (Georges Pompidou et Alain Poher), ce qui avait incit\u00e9 nombre d\u2019\u00e9lecteurs de gauche \u00e0 ne pas rallier les urnes et autoris\u00e9 un taux d\u2019abstention de 31,1 %, jamais aussi peu de citoyens ne s\u2019\u00e9taient d\u00e9plac\u00e9s pour un second tour de la pr\u00e9sidentielle que lors de ce dimanche.<\/p>\n
Cette abstention estim\u00e9e \u00e0 environ 28 % confirme une tendance \u00e0 la baisse, observ\u00e9e d\u00e9j\u00e0 au premier tour, mais aussi relev\u00e9e \u00e0 l\u2019occasion d\u2019autres scrutins pr\u00e9c\u00e9dents. Avec des records battus lors des d\u00e9partementales et r\u00e9gionales de 2022. Sans oublier le poids du vote nul et blanc, toujours plus pr\u00e9gnant, notamment depuis le deuxi\u00e8me tour de la pr\u00e9sidentielle 2017. O\u00f9, pour la premi\u00e8re fois, il avait franchi la barre symbolique des 10 %.<\/p>\n
4. Maintenaint, recoudre le pays…<\/h2>\n
L\u2019\u00e9lection d\u2019Emmanuel Macron dimanche rel\u00e8ve autant d\u2019un vote d\u2019adh\u00e9sion que d\u2019un vote de rejet de la candidate du Rassemblement national. \u00c0 l\u2019entame de son second mandat, le pr\u00e9sident \u00e9lu ne dispose donc pas du m\u00eame \u00e9lan qu\u2019en 2017. Lors duquel il devrait s\u2019attacher \u00e0 recoudre un pays d\u00e9chir\u00e9, comme le mouvement des \u201cgilets jaunes\u201d notamment l\u2019avait montr\u00e9 sur la dur\u00e9e avant d\u2019\u00eatre frein\u00e9 par la crise du Covid.<\/p>\n
Ce qui passera peut-\u00eatre (s\u00fbrement ?) par des \u00e9volutions sur le plan des instituions voire des modes de scrutin. Avec une (dose de) proportionnelle aux \u00e9lections l\u00e9gislatives ? Ce ne sera pas le cas pour celles des 12 et 19 juin. Qui verront, a minima, un d\u00e9but de recomposition d\u2019un paysage politique fran\u00e7ais d\u00e9sormais compl\u00e8tement \u00e9clat\u00e9. De grandes man\u0153uvres sont d\u00e9j\u00e0 \u00e0 pr\u00e9voir, \u00e0 gauche comme \u00e0 droite ? Elles ont d\u00e9marr\u00e9 ce dimanche \u00e0 20 h 01.<\/p>\n
source: midilibre<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Emmanuel Macron s\u2019est impos\u00e9 face \u00e0 Marine Le Pen \u00e0 l\u2019issue d\u2019un scrutin marqu\u00e9 par une forte abstention. Tentative d\u2019explications d\u2019une soir\u00e9e plac\u00e9e sous le sceau de l\u2019in\u00e9dit. Emmanuel Macron s\u2019est impos\u00e9 face \u00e0 Marine Le Pen \u00e0 l\u2019issue d\u2019un scrutin marqu\u00e9 par une forte abstention. Une r\u00e9\u00e9lection in\u00e9dite sous la Ve R\u00e9publique La date […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":616,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"subtitle":"","format":"standard","video":"","gallery":"","source_name":"","source_url":"","via_name":"","via_url":"","override":[{"single_blog_custom":"","sidebar":"","second_sidebar":"","share_position":"","share_float_style":"","post_date_format":"","post_date_format_custom":"","number_popup_post":"1"}],"image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"","single_post_gallery_size":""}],"trending_post_position":"","trending_post_label":""},"jnews_primary_category":{"id":""},"jnews_override_counter":{"view_counter_number":"0","share_counter_number":"0","like_counter_number":"0","dislike_counter_number":"0"},"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-615","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualites"],"yoast_head":"\n
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